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Ukraine warcasting megamarket
Plus
100
Ṁ39k2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
93%
Will Putin be in power 2025 Jan 1st?
84%
Will Zelensky be in power 2025 Jan 1st?
62%
Will Putin be in power 2028 Jan 1st?
50%
Will Trump be in power 2026 Jan 1st?
43%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2026 (lasts for at least 1 year)
34%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2025 (lasts for at least 1 year)
32%
Will a successful coup happen in Ukraine before the peace is established?
31%
Will a successful coup happen in Russia before the peace is established?
30%
Will Zelensky be in power 2028 Jan 1st?
22%
>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2026
21%
Will Russia or Ukraine gain control over a new city of 250k population by EOY 2024
16%
Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia
16%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2024 (lasts for at least 1 year)
13%
Russian nuke which causes more than 10 civilian deaths, by 2030
5%
>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2024
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Opinion market: Russia or Ukraine