Ukraine warcasting megamarket

Ukraine

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100

Ṁ39k

2025

ALL

93%

Will Putin be in power 2025 Jan 1st?

84%

Will Zelensky be in power 2025 Jan 1st?

62%

Will Putin be in power 2028 Jan 1st?

50%

Will Trump be in power 2026 Jan 1st?

43%

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2026 (lasts for at least 1 year)

34%

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2025 (lasts for at least 1 year)

32%

Will a successful coup happen in Ukraine before the peace is established?

31%

Will a successful coup happen in Russia before the peace is established?

30%

Will Zelensky be in power 2028 Jan 1st?

22%

>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2026

21%

Will Russia or Ukraine gain control over a new city of 250k population by EOY 2024

16%

Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia

16%

Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2024 (lasts for at least 1 year)

13%

Russian nuke which causes more than 10 civilian deaths, by 2030

>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2024

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Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia