Ukraine warcasting megamarket
Premium
168
Ṁ69kJan 1
97%
Will Putin be in power 2025 Jan 1st?
94%
Will Zelensky be in power 2025 Jan 1st?
86%
Will Trump be in power 2026 Jan 1st?
59%
Will Putin be in power 2028 Jan 1st?
44%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2026 (lasts for at least 1 year)
35%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2025 (lasts for at least 1 year)
29%
Will Zelensky be in power 2028 Jan 1st?
24%
Will a successful coup happen in Russia before the peace is established?
17%
Will a successful coup happen in Ukraine before the peace is established?
16%
Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia
16%
>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2026
15%
Russian nuke which causes more than 10 civilian deaths, by 2030
14%
Will Russia or Ukraine gain control over a new city of 250k population by EOY 2024
11%
>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2024
7%
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2024 (lasts for at least 1 year)
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