How much will TikTok sell for, in billions of dollars, if sold by the end of 2025?
Basic
9
Ṁ6832026
138
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves N/A if TikTok has not sold by the end of 2025.
If it sells for more than $500 billion value listed, resolves to the maximum bucket.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@SemioticRivalry Any community suggestions on how to set the upper and lower bound on these types of markets? I'm still not sure best practice. The high end of the estimates I quickly googled were several hundred billion, I agree that's unlikely but didn't want to exclude the possibility - TikTok has more than triple the estimated MAU of Twitter.
@SemioticRivalry I guess you'd take a view on potential DAU/MAU growth and then consider the potential to monetize and look at other social media market caps? ~10-20% of the market cap of Meta doesn't seem crazy
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the status of TikTok in the US on April 1st 2025?
Who will acquire TikTok’s US operations in 2024?
If TikTok is sold, who will buy it?
Assuming the Tiktok bill passes the Senate, will Bytedance sell Tiktok to an American company?
59% chance
Will TikTok be downloadable on the Apple iOS app store at the end of June 2025?
43% chance
If TikTok is sold, will the algorithm be included in the sale?
25% chance
Will TikTok be banned in the US by the end of 2025?
40% chance
As of April 2025, will the following companies or individuals have an ownership stake in TikTok (US)?
Will TikTok be banned in the United States by the end of 2025?
53% chance
Will TikTok be banned or sold to a US company by 2028
72% chance