When this market closes, I will check the polling average for each state listed on this market under this link:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/

Each state in which Harris is displayed as having the lead most recently will resolve YES, and the others will resolve NO. Note that ties will result in a NO resolution. I may bet on this market.

Edge case stuff:

If the polling average is moved somewhere else, but still operated by 538, I will use the averages at the new location if possible. If the polling average is turned off or otherwise inaccessible, but it seems like it may receive an update in the near future, I will wait at most 2 weeks after this market closes for an update to the polling average, and then use the first polling averages show after the polling average was turned back on. If the polling average doesn't turn back on, this market will N/A.