This mainly tests if the current sweepstakes model will still be in place on a given date, in which case that date resolves YES. If the sweepstakes model is still nominally in place for a given day, but there are no sweepstakes markets open on that day, that day will resolve NO.
The definition of real-money betting is the same as in https://manifold.markets/jack/will-manifold-launch-real-money-pri
, with the exception that it has to be available to a majority of U.S. residents over the age of 18, based on the population data of states in which real-money betting is allowed.
I will not bet on this market.
@Nightsquared real money betting didn't exist on manifold at the start of the year. Resolves NO.. presumably that was a typo though, lmk if you need N/A assistance or something like that