Will someone other than Harris or Trump win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
21
แน€10k
Dec 18
4%
chance

As of the creation of this market, the main 2024 election market seems to be implying a 3% chance of this happening:


I was wondering if this is accurate, or simply a mispricing.
This market resolves NO if and when the Trump or Harris option in the above market resolve to YES; Otherwise, it resolves YES if and when some other option in the above market resolves YES. If the above market is N/A'd, this market will also be N/A'd.

I will not bet on this market.

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