Will there be at least 4 decisive classical games in the 2024 World Chess Championship?
Basic
14
𝕊83
Dec 15
64%
chance

Resolves YES if there are four or more decisive (non-drawn) games in the classical (not including tiebreaks) portion of the World Chess Championship (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2024), or NO if there are three or less. Also resolves NO if a new world chess championship does not start before 2025. (i.e. if the existing match is cancelled.)

Decisive game count for previous recent WCCs:

2023: 6

2021: 4

2018: 0

2016: 2

2014: 4

2013: 3

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