Will there be at least 4 decisive classical games in the 2024 World Chess Championship?
Basic
38
𝕊580Dec 15
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there are four or more decisive (non-drawn) games in the classical (not including tiebreaks) portion of the World Chess Championship (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2024), or NO if there are three or less. Also resolves NO if a new world chess championship does not start before 2025. (i.e. if the existing match is cancelled.)
Decisive game count for previous recent WCCs:
2023: 6
2021: 4
2018: 0
2016: 2
2014: 4
2013: 3
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