The details the same as this question: <https://manifold.markets/Nu%C3%B1oSempere/will-i-be-cancelled-by-2025>. Consent of the participant can be found here: <https://twitter.com/ilex_ulmus/status/1535418959918407680> . This question resolves yes if Holly Elmore (@ilex_ulmus on Twitter) is "cancelled" in the next few years." This would involve things like
- her being dismissed from her job due to non-work-related factors
- her being shunned from the EA community
- her EA forum account being deleted without her consent
- etc.
Overall, I will resolve this question according to my best judgment. Because this is a long-term question, I will strive to add liquidity/exit events reasonably regularly or at request (e.g., add liquidity so that people can exit their position, move the probability to where I think it should be, etc.)
Edit: The close date was updated to 2025-01-01 12:00 am
Edit: Grammar.