Will the Doomsday Clock next move be forward?
Basic
54
9.1k
Sep 7
85%
chance

The Doomsday Clock is an informal assessment of how close humanity is to global catastrophe ("midnight"). The clock was first described in 1947, and is now updated annually by the Bulletin for the Atomic Scientist. While the clock historically moved largely on the basis of nuclear weapons and war, in recent years the Bulletin has also cited climate change and "disruptive technologies" in its risk assessments.

The next time the clock changes, will it move forward (towards midnight)? Resolves YES if so, resolves NO if not. The clock must move to resolve this question, if it remains at the same position (as in 2021 and 2022) this question will remain open. In the event that the clock is discontinued, resolves N/A.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ500 YES

With war in Gaza, war in Ukraine, Iran and Israel trading fire, 2024 setting out to be yet again the hottest year on record... It's hard for me to believe that they would move the clock back.

Question should be "will the doomsday clock move forward next?"

predicts YES

More related questions