Will Russia formally cede Crimea before 2025?
Plus
14
Ṁ2621Dec 31
1.3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves Yes if Russia officially states that Crimea is not part of Russia anymore before January 1, 2025. This question is not about actual control or third-party recognition.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Russian Ukraine war ends before 2025?
4% chance
Will Ukraine regain control over Crimea before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?
1% chance
Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2025?
8% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?
53% chance
Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?
48% chance
Will Russia formally cede Crimea before 2030?
13% chance
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2026?
32% chance
Will Ukraine regain control of its pre-2014 territory (including Crimea and Donbas) by 2025?
1% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2025?
50% chance