![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FJet38bp0wF.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3Dc2779e2b-41e3-4cf8-b16a-10a516b8b409&w=3840&q=75)
Will Ukraine regain control over Crimea before the end of 2024?
Basic
370
Ṁ187kDec 30
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve to YES, if at any point before the end of 2024, Ukrainian forces control majority of Crimea territory
resolution source: Institute for the Study of War, https://www.understandingwar.org/
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
Related questions
Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
22% chance
Will Ukrainian forces attempt to retake Crimea in 2024?
17% chance
Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
50% chance
Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2030?
20% chance
Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?
15% chance
Will Ukraine regain control of its pre-2014 territory (including Crimea and Donbas) by 2025?
7% chance
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?
8% chance
Will the Ukraine war be over by the end of 2024?
7% chance