Will Ukraine regain control over Crimea before the end of 2024?
Plus
380
Ṁ190kDec 30
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve to YES, if at any point before the end of 2024, Ukrainian forces control majority of Crimea territory
resolution source: Institute for the Study of War, https://www.understandingwar.org/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
By the end of 2024, will Ukraine still hold any of the Russian territory it currently holds?
84% chance
Will the Ukraine war be over by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will Ukraine regain control of its pre-2014 territory (including Crimea and Donbas) by 2025?
1% chance
Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
18% chance
Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2030?
31% chance
Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?
17% chance
Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
11% chance
Will Ukrainian forces attempt to retake Crimea in 2024?
6% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?
6% chance