Will the IDF reservists who engaged in torture and rape of Palestinian prisoners be released from detention?
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https://www.cbsnews.com/news/israel-hamas-war-idf-palestinian-prisoner-alleged-rape-sde-teinman-abuse-protest/

As of this market's creation, there is ongoing civil unrest in Israel over the arrest and detention of several IDF reservists over the alleged sodomization of a captive terrorist. Pressure from right-wing Israeli politicians, militias, and other elements of the IDF is being applied to release the reservists and treat their actions as acceptable or at least non-criminal.

Spirit of the market: This market is concerned with the accused being released for any reason. However, all of them need to be released in order for this to be resolved Yes. So if one fall guy is chosen and the rest are given a slap on the wrist and set free, this market would still resolve No when a formal trial begins.

I have a separate market for any potential trial's outcome. This market is concerned with the time period leading up to a trial, to see if political pressure gets special treatment for the accused. If a nuance of the Israeli legal system uses different vocabulary than my American market description, I will take advice on edge cases, but most paralleles should be obvious.

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bought แน€200 NO

With half of the reservists still detained and no new riots happening, I expect this to be the status quo until the trial.

bought แน€15 YES

What if theyโ€™re bailed?

I'd have to see whether that was a normal policy for military prisoners suspected of those crimes, or if Israelis considered it an exceptional response to political pressure.

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