Will the Panama Canal be closed for at least 24 hours in 2024 due to a man-made disaster?
Basic
11
Ṁ3152025
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Panama Canal has already suffered recent backlogs and commercial consequences due to droughts and poor weather. This market will resolve Yes if the canal is closed due to a ship crash, terror attack, military incursion, or other directly man-made problem.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
How many transits of the Panama canal in 2024?
[Metaculus] Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025?
37% chance
Will the Suez Canal be closed for a full week for any reason by the end of 2024?
14% chance
Will the Kerch Strait Road Bridge (road bridge from Russia to Crimea) be rendered inoperable in 2024?
47% chance
Will the Kerch Strait Rail Bridge (rail bridge from Russia to Crimea) be rendered inoperable in 2024?
46% chance
Will there be an international or global crisis in the year 2024?
Will there be a US government shutdown in 2024?
18% chance
Will the Nicaragua Canal open by 2050?
17% chance
Will a single natural disaster event kill more than 50,000 people in 2024?
22% chance
Will the Kra Isthmus Canal open before 2050?
31% chance