Will the Panama Canal be closed for at least 24 hours in 2024 due to a man-made disaster?
Plus
12
Ṁ322Jan 1
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Panama Canal has already suffered recent backlogs and commercial consequences due to droughts and poor weather. This market will resolve Yes if the canal is closed due to a ship crash, terror attack, military incursion, or other directly man-made problem.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a disaster this year with an economic cost of over $100 billion as of December 31, 2024?
52% chance
How many transits of the Panama canal in 2024?
Will the Suez Canal be closed for a full week for any reason by the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will there be any catastrophic cascading natural disasters in 2023 or 2024?
21% chance
Will there be an international or global crisis in the year 2024?
Will the Kerch Strait Road Bridge (road bridge from Russia to Crimea) be rendered inoperable in 2024?
19% chance
How long will the Suez Canal be closed between now and the end of 2024?
Will the Kerch Strait Rail Bridge (rail bridge from Russia to Crimea) be rendered inoperable in 2024?
17% chance
[Metaculus] Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025?
10% chance
Will there be a security incident involving the Chenab Bridge (2024)
32% chance