Will the Suez Canal be closed for a full week for any reason by the end of 2024?
Basic
16
Ṁ8462025
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes once the Suez is inoperable or closed for seven consecutive days. Resolves No at market closure otherwise.
There have been multiple past closures of varying lengths: https://www.businessinsider.com/the-suez-canal-blocked-and-closed-several-times-since-opening-2021-3?amp
Currently, the Israel-Palestine conflict and its satellite conflicts threaten to cause another:
https://apnews.com/article/red-sea-yemen-houthis-attack-ships-f67d941c260528ac40315ecab4c34ca3
Get Ṁ600 play money
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