Will there be a disaster this year with an economic cost of over $100 billion as of December 31, 2024?
Plus
29
Ṁ17kJan 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The disaster can be natural or human-caused, and can happen anywhere in the world. It can be a series of events, as long as the events are related (e.g. a series of tornadoes in a region, a hurricane that causes flooding, etc.).
This question will resolve using the List of Disasters by Cost Wikipedia Article. To resolve "yes" there must be at least 2 citations from reputable sources verifying the number.
The question will resolve "no" on January 1, 2025 if there is no entry on the list between July 17, 2024 and December 31, 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a hurricane that strikes the United States in 2024 cause over $150 billion worth of damage?
6% chance
Will a winter storm cause over $1 billion in damage in the Northeast between July 20 and December 31, 2024 ?
32% chance
Will a flood cause over $1 billion in damage in the Northeast between July 20 and December 31, 2024 ?
32% chance
Will there be a huge economic crisis that will impact the global economy in 2024?
17% chance
Will there be any catastrophic cascading natural disasters in 2023 or 2024?
3% chance
Will there be an international or global crisis in the year 2024?
Will a single natural disaster event kill more than 50,000 people in 2024?
4% chance
Will there be a cybersecurity event affecting US infrastructure and dealing more than $20 million in damage by 2025
47% chance
Will there be any $1 billion lawsuits in the USA in 2024?
70% chance
Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?
44% chance