Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?
Basic
51
Ṁ7.6k2100
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
An attempted AI takeover
An AI system malfunctions
A single disaster or related ones, not just "every AI disaster over 50 years"
1T adjusted to inflation
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
@PipFoweraker I'd be more worried about Manifold. Presumably we can get an admin resolution if it matter and Manifold exists.
@EvanDaniel True - I was thinking more of the psychological satisfaction of being proved right while still alive
Related questions
Does an AI disaster kill at least 100,000 people before 2029?
29% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000 people before 2040?
67% chance
Will AI cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?
30% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 100 people before 2040?
78% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 100,000 people before 2040?
29% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000,000 people before 2040?
26% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000 people before 2029?
40% chance
Will AI cause an incident resulting in $1b of losses or 100 lost lives?