Resolution Criteria : This has to be confirmed by either of the two in some form.
I'll extend the question closing time if needed.
@ParthKolekar Resolves as NO.
Musk and Grimes have been last seen together in September 2021, separated, but being on "great terms", see https://news.sky.com/story/elon-musk-and-grimes-split-up-after-three-years-together-but-remain-on-great-terms-12416852
Their kid Techno Mechanicus, nicknamed "Tau," was born in June 2022, see https://www.today.com/parents/parents/elon-musk-kids-rcna19692
There's no evidence that they ever got back together, but they have a custody battle going on since September 2023. People never get back together after custody battles.
https://people.com/grimes-didn-t-see-one-of-kids-for-5-months-amid-custody-battle-with-elon-musk-8751462
@mods Market creator's account is deleted. Market should resolve as NO, there is no indication Musk ever got back together with Grimes again and a lot of indication he did not.
@ChaosIsALadder Originally the market had a close date of 2040, so I'm reinstating that.
I personally don't expect Elon and Grimes to get back together but I don't think the evidence is overwhelming enough for a premature resolution. People change and there's enough couples that do get back together despite all odds.
Well... They had another baby together, so I am inclined to resolve this as a YES.
https://twitter.com/teslaownersSV/status/1700628869810999641