Will this question lean towards NO by the end of 2024?
Plus
22
Ṁ3973Jan 2
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is a chaotic self referential question.
This question resolves to NO if the market probability is above 50% at the start of 2025.
This question resolves to YES if the market probability is below 50% at the start of 2025.
In the case of a tie, resolution will be left open until the tie is broken.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will I go back to being a utilitarian by the end of 2024?
48% chance
One year from now, will the percentage that this question resolves YES (as shown by Manifold) be above 50%?
54% chance
Will I test positive for COVID by end of 2025?
41% chance
On January 31st, 2025, when this market closes, will this market be predicted to resolve "No"?
50% chance
Will PredictIt continue to have a conservative bent by end of 2028?
63% chance
Will I be vegan at the end of 2024?
7% chance
This question resolves "YES" on January 1, 2025
99% chance
Will I get a job by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will I move by end of 2025?
92% chance
Will "Will 'jailbreaks' in LLMs be solved in principle by the end of 2024" resolve YES AND turn out wrong in 2026?
18% chance