๐ OpenLLMs: Will Any Open Source LLM on the HuggingFace OpenLLM Leaderboard Significantly Gain in Avg Score by YE 2024?
Basic
9
แน441Jan 1
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Previous market on this topic:
https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/open-source-llms-will-any-open-sour
I reserve the right to upgrade the metric used if the one used in the above market is stale. I aim to have things finalized for this market by end of January 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@ashly_webb Yes, because the question is, will ANY OpenLLM...so any includes future, doesn't exist yet.
Related questions
Related questions
Will any LLM outrank GPT-4 by 150 Elo in LMSYS chatbot arena before 2025?
6% chance
Will openAI have the most accurate LLM across most benchmarks by EOY 2024?
37% chance
Will Google have a better LLM than OpenAI by 2025?
33% chance
When will a non-Transformer model become the top open source LLM?
Will OpenAI have the best LLM in 2024?
84% chance
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will I think that the top Chatbot Arena scores accurately reflect which LLMs are most capable and useful at EOY 2024?
41% chance
Who will be ahead in the AI/LLM war by the end of 2024?
Will an open-source LLM beat or match GPT-4 by the end of 2024?
85% chance
Will a open source pure Mamaba LLM surpass 82 MMLU on MMLU (5-shot) before end of year 2024?
25% chance