When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)
Basic
9
Ṁ6892031
22%
2027
22%
2026
22%
2029
22%
2028
21%
2025
6%
2024
Each of these options resolves either: at the end of the year as NO, or YES if the US is at war with Iran at any point during the year.
I won't bet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the US and Iran go to war by end 2024?
2% chance
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent)
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran by the end of 2024?
3% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?
4% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
15% chance
Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024
4% chance
[Metaculus] If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, wil...l Tehran within one year?
37% chance
Israel-Hezbollah conflict killing >400 before 2024? And US and Iran at war before 2025?
Discourse 2024: The U.S. and Iran in a direct shooting war?
9% chance