Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | Manifold

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

Plus

140

Ṁ29k

Dec 31

3%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves yes if the PRC attempts to physically invade Taiwan in the year of 2024.

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#🇨🇳 China

#China Taiwan potential conflict

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@Paul does invading Taiwan's islands count? Or only the main island?

@Paul Can you answer this please, or specify the resolution criteria more precisely?

@Paul see ^

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