Will we be able to predict earthquakes by 2035? | Manifold

Will we be able to predict earthquakes by 2035?

15

1kṀ619

2035

32%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will resolve based on whether our ability to predict earthquakes is surprisingly good.

Given the subjective nature of this assessment, I won't bet.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?

-14% 1d8% chance

Will AI be able to accurately predict natural disasters with a week's notice by 2030?

Will we be able to accurately forecast weather 15 days in advance, by 2025?

Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?

Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2025?

Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?

Will a major earthquake with a magnitude of 8.5 or greater occur in the Pacific Ring of Fire before the end of 2025?

Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030?

Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?

Will a large earthquake rock a major city that isn't in a tectonically active area by end 2029?

Related questions

Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?

Will AI be able to accurately predict natural disasters with a week's notice by 2030?

Will we be able to accurately forecast weather 15 days in advance, by 2025?

Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?

Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2025?

Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?

Will a major earthquake with a magnitude of 8.5 or greater occur in the Pacific Ring of Fire before the end of 2025?

Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030?

Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?

Will a large earthquake rock a major city that isn't in a tectonically active area by end 2029?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules