Context:
At the Bitcoin 2024 conference, Donald Trump promised to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve if elected president.
He also made other crypto-friendly promises, including creating a "Bitcoin and crypto presidential advisory council" and opposing a central bank digital currency.
Trump expressed his intent to make the United States "the crypto capital of the world."
https://www.barrons.com/articles/trump-bitcoin-reserve-and-fire-gensler-3876ad79
https://cointelegraph.com/news/trump-implement-bitcoin-strategic-reserve-elected-president
https://manifold.markets/AndrewMcCalip/will-donald-trump-announce-a-us-bit
Resolution Criteria:
Resolves YES if:
Donald Trump is elected president in November 2024, AND
Within 1 year of his inauguration, his administration: signs an executive order, or passes legislation, or otherwise officially establishes a US strategic reserve of Bitcoin or other crypto
Actual crypto must be acquired and held for reserve purposes.
Resolves NO if:
Trump is elected, but the above conditions are not met within 1 year of inauguration.
Resolves N/A if:
Donald Trump is not elected president in November 2024.
Notes:
The total amount of cryptocurrency in the reserve does not affect the resolution.
Merely starting the legal process is not sufficient for a YES resolution; the reserve must be actually established and holding Bitcoin or other crypto.
If the reserve holds Ethereum or other currencies, instead of Bitcoin, this would still resolve as YES. CBDC does not count for YES resolution.