Will Belarus fire into Ukraine territory in 2024
Plus
26
Ṁ4762Dec 31
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Lukashenko ordered tanks to the border
It’s unclear if he is just posturing or Putin needs a distraction.
This resolves from any kind of projectile that travels into or within Ukraine by official Belarus troops (eg shahed drones included).
I will not be betting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Belarus send troops to support Russia in border regions by end of 2024?
9% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?
1% chance
Will there be a separate Ukrainian incursion into Russia before the end of 2024?
16% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Russia detonate a nuclear bomb in Ukraine by 2024?
2% chance
Will Russia hit Kiev with an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) in 2024?
9% chance
Will Ukrainian forces attempt to retake Crimea in 2024?
3% chance
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2026?
15% chance
Will Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2024?
2% chance