Will Israel punish someone for firing at the UN Peacekeeping headquarters?
Basic
5
Ṁ50Dec 31
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Israel apparently fired on the UN peacekeepers headquarters in Lebanon.
this market resolves yes if a commander or soldier is disciplined for this. The severity of punishment doesn’t matter.
Similar situation for reference: https://apnews.com/article/israel-gaza-war-crimes-palestinians-jenin-rights-1948addf9785086572790dc22111f3fa
It resolves no if the UNs description of events turns out to be completely wrong or if no one receives any punishment.
Market closes at the end of 2024, but I might extend e.g. if it is clear that Israel started an investigation but it is not concluded.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Did Israel strike the UNRWA facility in Gaza?
92% chance
Will Israel issue and carry out a death sentence by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Israel be held responsible for its war crimes is Gaza?
25% chance
Will Israel find the soldier(s) who shot a West Bank 8-year-old in the back of the head guilty of any crime?
31% chance
Will the IDF reservists who engaged in torture and rape of Palestinian prisoners be found guilty of a crime?
47% chance
Will any Israeli be charged with a war crime by the end of 2024?
25% chance
Will the ICJ punish/charge Israel of commiting genocide or attempting to commit genocide by the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will Israel be found Guilty of Genocide at the ICJ ?
21% chance
Will Israel follow ICJ's 26 Jan non-binding ruling (to prevent genocide acts and improve humanitarian aid in Palestine)?
13% chance
Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?
14% chance