
Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?
64
1.6kṀ19k2030
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NO if humanity is still around in 2030. Otherwise, we just have to hope that who/whatever is left resolves it correctly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
15% chance
Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?
12% chance
Will nuclear war cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?
9% chance
Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?
69% chance
Will an accident involving miniaturized fusion reactors wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
0% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?
15% chance
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
14% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
15% chance
Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?
12% chance
Will nuclear war cause a global catastrophe killing at least 10% of humans before 2100?
9% chance
Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?
69% chance
Will an accident involving miniaturized fusion reactors wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
0% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?
15% chance
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
14% chance