Will the tipping point state in the 2024 election be decided by <1%?
Plus
17
Ṁ517Dec 1
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The tipping point state is the state that gives the winning candidate their 270th electoral vote (or whatever number is needed to win, if the number of electors ever changes), when the states are ordered by the margin of victory. In 2020, that was Wisconsin, where Biden won by 0.63%. Will the margin in the tipping point state once again be <1%?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the tipping point state be decided by less than 2% in the 2024 POTUS election?
37% chance
Will the 2024 presidential election be decided by fewer than 100,000 votes?
3% chance
Which state will be the tipping point in the 2024 US presidential election?
What will be the tipping point state in the 2024 POTUS election?
Which states will be decided by less than 5 points in 2024?
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 1%?
61% chance
Which states will be decided by less than 10 points in 2024?
Will the popular vote margin be at least 5% in 2024?
5% chance
Will the margin of victory in the 2024 US Presidential election in Wisconsin be greater than 1%?
41% chance
Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
4% chance