Will the winner of Alaska in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
Basic
7
Ṁ696Dec 1
97%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the candidate that wins Alaska get more than 50% of the first place votes in Alaska? Alaska uses instant runoff voting, so this would resolve NO if the election goes to an instant runoff.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@ShakedKoplewitz Yeah, Trump actually won less of the vote in Alaska than he did in Ohio or Iowa, even though both of those states were closer than Alaska in terms of margins. I certainly don't expect it to be won by only a plurality, but with a big enough leftward shift or third party presence, it would be possible.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the candidate who wins Alaska win the 2024 POTUS election?
96% chance
Will a Democrat win Alaska in the 2024 POTUS election?
2% chance
Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Alaska?
1% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Alaska?
96% chance
Will Alaska be decided by less than 5% in 2024?
2% chance
Will Alaska be closer than Virginia in the 2024 POTUS election?
9% chance
If the Republican nominee wins Alaska, will they win the presidency (2024)?
99% chance
Will the candidate who wins Arizona win the 2024 POTUS election?
95% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Maine?
2% chance
Will the winner of Texas in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
96% chance