Arb:

how does this resolve if he fakes his death

@angeluspolitian Or if he dies but they do a Weekend at Bernie's thing?

@Frogswap nvm that would actually be the funniest possible resolution

@angeluspolitian I think Trump's head would explode if he had to pretend to be dead. He needs the attention from social media...

@evergreenemily So if he pretended to die, he would actually die, therefore we don't need to consider this scenario.

@angeluspolitian What if his death is unconfirmed and he's succeeded by a sequence of impostors ruling in his name, known to later history as False Donald I through False Donald IV?

https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
4.9% death chance for 77 year old male, 5.4% for 78 year old male.
That amounts to 10.3% chance in two years, and this is a year and a half or a little less, so, multiplying by 3/4, you get 7.7%.

@ShadowyZephyr yeah, but he had a bad covid bout, and he's obese

@Dave_9000ish I think his bad health cancels out with the fact that he has access to the best medical treatments (being rich and influential).

Should be only like 8% according to actuarial tables

manifesting