@Marnix https://nypost.com/2024/12/23/us-news/trump-vows-to-stop-transgender-lunacy-only-recognize-two-genders/

Trump vows to stop ‘transgender lunacy’ and recognize only two genders as ‘official policy’

President-elect Donald Trump says he will stop "transgender lunacy" and make the US recognize only two genders — male and female — on day one of his presidency.

My bad, I didn’t realize I was using BlueSky.social

@FoxKHTML what does this even mean

@Marnix Are you honestly asking?

@Shai yeah i don't know what he's even going for here

@Marnix It reads more as a jab at Trump than a serious prediction/question.

@Shai Creator should resolve it N/A. Stupid ass question

@FoxKHTML seethe

@Symmetry Trump is your president

@FoxKHTML hey, relax, stop acting like you're in the predictit comments section

@Marnix @Quillist for a recipient of clemency not to count as part of a group do they simply need to be named on separate clemency warrants or do they need to be pardoned for separate offenses/reasons?

@AaronSimansky im gonna go with separate clemency warrants is fine. but a commutation is not. gotta be a pardon

@Quillist if an action happens prior to Trump taking office that makes it impossible for a marker to resolve yes, will that market resolve no or N/A?

@traders A market with a longer scope can be found here:

@Quillist should be "children of illegal immigrants", since illegal immigrants have already been born and therefore cannot get birthright citizenship.

@VNetChrome lie, definitely. but grift? he might be a bit busy rewarding his friends. how would you want this resolved?

@Marnix Day 1, inauguration. There’s already an established history, lawsuits, AND Settlement (ie admission of guilt). As given as the “Lie” part

https://www.npr.org/2022/05/03/1096123493/trump-inauguration-dc-hotel-lawsuit-settlement

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2021/11/trump-inauguration-corruption-case-involving-ivanka-and-don-jr-moves-ahead/

https://www.citizen.org/news/what-happened-to-the-surplus-funds-from-trumps-inauguration/

william henry harrison speedrun

@Marnix https://youtube.com/watch?v=885TwVEZ7-w

5% was crazily underpriced. Depends on resolution, of course, but saying "I will not sign another Ukraine aid bill" is ending the war.

@b575 this will be decided by the creator but to interpret "taking an action that eventually leads to resource constraints that force one side to the bargaining table" as a day 1 action to "end the war" would be pretty nuts imo.

this is about direct actions he can take, not attributing causality for (complex, multicausal) future events to the day 1 actions that may have influenced them. if trump gets on the phone with putin/zelensky and negotiates the end to the war on day 1, that resolves YES.

@Ziddletwix I mean, yes, if it merely led to resource constraints it wouldn't qualify. But I predict that's not what will happen.

I also want to add that, as much mana as I pour in this option, I will be very happy if I lose it all. I just don't think I will.

https://www.perplexity.ai/search/biden-first-day-in-office-eo-2-SgWyvMIdQ4Guj0y17x646A

Basically this list in reverse