If Trump wins, will his first year in office be 'a complete shit show'?
Basic
19
Ṁ4852026
64%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution will follow the results of a poll on Manifold, created after the deadline (6th of January 2026).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@TheWabiSabi Would improve if you take as much control away from yourself to influence the outcome of the poll, such as by already specifying the title, options (full text) and tags.
Related questions
Related questions
What will Trump do on Day 1 of being President?
What will Trump do in his second term? (if he wins)
Will Trump be a Dictator on Day 1?
25% chance
If Trump wins, will there be wide scale civil disorder in the weeks following the election?
20% chance
What will happen during Trump's second term?
If Trump wins, will he "free" January 6th prisoners in his first month?
60% chance
Who will serve in Donald Trump's cabinet in his first year?
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
25% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
50% chance
Will Donald Trump serve a full term?
76% chance