If Trump wins, will his first year in office be 'a complete shit show'? | Manifold

If Trump wins, will his first year in office be 'a complete shit show'?

22

100Ṁ810

2026

70%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution will follow the results of a poll on Manifold, created after the deadline (6th of January 2026).

🇺🇸 US Politics

Republican Party

🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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Check out this market to bet on what Trump will say in Year 1 https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/what-words-or-phrases-will-trump-sa

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 60% order

Put a limit up order for Yes at 60% for who's interested

This market has conflict of interest written all over it

@Entropy how could I resolve that? I'm happy to cancel my limit order if that helps.

@TheWabiSabi Would improve if you take as much control away from yourself to influence the outcome of the poll, such as by already specifying the title, options (full text) and tags.

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