Will a synthetic biological intelligence system be developed that can match the intelligence of a bumblebee by 2030? | Manifold

Will a synthetic biological intelligence system be developed that can match the intelligence of a bumblebee by 2030?

Plus

13

Ṁ624

2030

46%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

A rather vague question.

Admittingly yes. Hope that this market could inspire some discussion on how to even measure scales of biological intelligence, and maybe even apply that to non-synthetic embodied intelligences.

As of now I'm judging it off of the ol' - if it looks like it - metric.

Related questions

Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?

Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2030? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]

IF artificial superintelligence exists by 2030, will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Will AI surpass humans in conducting scientific research by 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will artificial sentience be created by end of 2050?

Will artificial sentience be created by end of 2030?

Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040?

Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?

Related questions

Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?

Will artificial sentience be created by end of 2050?

Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2030? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]

Will artificial sentience be created by end of 2030?

IF artificial superintelligence exists by 2030, will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Will a fully synthetic, functional multicellular organism be created before January 1st, 2040?

Will AI surpass humans in conducting scientific research by 2030?

Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules