Will there be a significant Mana black market before EOY 2024
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8
Ṁ180
Dec 31
23%
chance

The market should facilitate trading Mana against fiat currencies, cryptocurrencies, or other assets convertible into fiat currency. This market must operate independently of the Manifold official platform

The market needs to have a volume of at least 100 Mana per week on average for 8 weeks and there are evidence it exists without reasonable doubt.

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@RanaG What led you to determine 100 mana was "significant?" or is that arbitrary and your are more focused on the 8 weeks of black market activity?

What does "black market" mean exactly? If one person sells 100 mana for 8 weeks for a total for 800 mana sold... Does this resolve yes? 800 mana and one person doesn't seem "significant" or like a "market."

Discord is an extension of the platform. It's the only way the team communicates changes, futures decisions and takes feedback. Is the official Manifold Discord server considered "Manifold official platform" and other discord servers could be black markets?

Also.... What does "convertible" mean? Do you mean in an "official sense?"

Would someone trading in game currencies (WoW or RS gold/items) for 100 mana then converting that in game currency to USD for 8 weeks resolve this yes?

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