Derived from Saul suggesting this is plausible here: https://manifold.markets/saulmunn/will-there-be-a-manifest-in-the-nex

Resolves YES if there's an event after 20 June 2024 and starts before 1 Jan 2025 with all of the following properties:

• more than 50 attendees

• organized by staff at manifold or manifund or similarly adjacent folks (e.g. me if i don't work there would count)

• has the name "manifest" or some portmanteau in the name (e.g. "manivibefest" or "lessfest" would count)

• is at least nominally for prediction markets, forecasting, and other related topics (betting, mechanism design, impact markets, etc)