Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2024
Markets with the same criteria:
/RemNiFHfMN/did-agi-emerge-in-2023 (this question)
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2025
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2030
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2031
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2032
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2034
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2036
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2037
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2038
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2039
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2040
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2041
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2042
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2043
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2044
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2045
/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2046
@SteelSphinx Voice of reason 😄
I'm inclined to resolve this market as NO, but think it's best to wait a bit until more data is collated. It's possible that someone made AGI in their basement on New Year's eve and we haven't heard about it yet.