Will we get fusion reactors before 2033?
➕
Plus
36
Ṁ1968
2033
34%
chance

Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2033 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).

Questions with the same criteria:

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-99b4d79ded14

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-600c021a4d39

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-0f87d48233f5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd (this question)

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a34a5044ccca

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-607391b6e7ff

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-9594f28b5777

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-c3873b782b65

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-8213a4d4f7e6

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-ca980dd1dca2

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-719c22dafd13

Numeric market:

/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors

Other reference points for fusion reactors:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-585b179f8ac3

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-ba35c785123c

Other questions for 2033:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2033

/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2033

/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-2a1f4da84a39

/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc

/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-2f90be5ca48d

/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-df3792742b47

/RemNi/will-we-get-a-cure-for-cancer-befor-7973daa750f9

/RemNi/will-1m-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-04a4cc646b5b

/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-d17e1e9eef9b

Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven

The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Underpriced compared to getting fusion reactors before 2032

@Henryc47 free mana for you then

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules