The Political Fate of Elon
Premium
39
Ṁ24k2026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
18%
Pay >$50m in fines/settlements if Reps win
7%
Convicted of felony if Reps win
9%
X shut down/sold if Reps win
What will be the personal or financial repercussions of the 2024 Presidential Election to Elon Musk in 2025?
The above are a set of conditional markets on various actions that happen to either Elon Musk personally or any of his affiliated companies (SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink, etc.) in 2025 as a result of which party wins the presidency in the upcoming election.
Suggest more ideas in the comments!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@MattP Any fines from any government. Any settlements from any lawsuit (including class action lawsuits).
Related questions
Related questions
When will Trump and Elon “break up” / have a serious public falling out?
Will Elon Musk regret endorsing Trump, if Trump becomes president
34% chance
Will ElonGate be used for a political scandal before 2030?
28% chance
Conditional on Trump carrying out mass detention of migrants, will Elon Musk publicly break with Trump?
17% chance
In whose hands was the future, according to Elon Musk?
Will Elon Musk's political orientation change by the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will Elon Musk get fired from the Trump administration?
36% chance
Will Elon Musk run for public office in the US before 2034
39% chance
Will Elon Musk run for elected government office this decade?
31% chance
Elon Musk stock
Ṁ267