When will Trump turn on Elon?
Basic
20
Ṁ2222026
8%
pre inauguration
24%
Q1 2025
22%
Q2 2025
9%
Q3 2025
9%
Q4 2025
27%
They stay buds through 2025
I determine the vibe shift--my threshold will be roughly when Trump starts belittling him in public on at least 3 occasions. My assumption is that the split will be obvious and dramatic and I won't count anything that isn't.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
41% chance
When will Trump and Elon “break up” / have a serious public falling out?
Will Donald Trump repay Elon Musk's backing in good faith?
78% chance
Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins?
91% chance
Will Elon Musk loan or donate to Trump any money by EOY 2024?
70% chance
Will Elon Musk regret endorsing Trump, if Trump becomes president
26% chance
Will Elon & Trump have a major falling out within 45 days of the inauguration?
10% chance
Musk and Trump no longer besties by Q2 2026?
47% chance
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk ?
37% chance
Will Musk still be on good terms with Trump at the end of 2025?
57% chance