When will Trump turn on Elon?
24
100Ṁ4352026
1.6%
pre inauguration
4%
Q1 2025
13%
Q2 2025
12%
Q3 2025
17%
Q4 2025
53%
They stay buds through 2025
I determine the vibe shift--my threshold will be roughly when Trump starts belittling him in public on at least 3 occasions. My assumption is that the split will be obvious and dramatic and I won't count anything that isn't.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000
Related questions
Related questions
any DOGE boy turns on Elon or Trump by end of 2025?
66% chance
Will Elon & Trump have a major falling out by EoY 2025?
19% chance
When will Trump and Elon “break up” / have a serious public falling out?
When will Elon Musk no longer play a significant role in the Trump Administration?
Will Elon Musk regret endorsing Trump, if Trump becomes president
22% chance
Will Musk still be on good terms with Trump at the end of 2025?
55% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?
30% chance
Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
29% chance
If Trump wins the election, will he appoint Elon Musk to a federal government position by the end of 2025?
63% chance
Elon Musk hooks up with a Trump
7% chance