What will the single largest post-pivot trade on Manifold be in 2024?

Premium

Ṁ18k

Jan 1

15%

< Ṁ1m

55%

Ṁ1m - Ṁ25m

19%

Ṁ25m - Ṁ100m

10%

Ṁ100m+

Mana amount bet, not number of shares. Only trades on ranked, listed, and non-self referential/whalebait markets created after May 1st, 2024 will be considered.

As of market creation, the largest trade so far is Ṁ270k on

Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?16%‌

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Get

1,000

and

3.00

7 Comments

23 Holders

62 Trades

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sold Ṁ39 < Ṁ1m YES

So trades made after May 1st on markets created before May 1st are not counted for this market? Or am I reading the description wrongly?

Nobody is claiming a 1M+ trade has happened yet, is that correct?

bought Ṁ1,000 Ṁ100m+ NO

I was proud of myself for concluding "OK, so this requires a large limit order AND someone to fill it in a single trade" until I looked at the linked market and saw that no, it's just a user who's largest profit is three orders of magnitude smaller than their largest loss.

Wait i don't get it, what you talking about.

Would trades on this market count? Not that I necessarily have 100 million mana to spend, but just curious

Has to be executed as a single trade? What about a limit order… does it count as long as it’s eventually fully filled?

bought Ṁ50 Ṁ100m+ YES

Yes, a single executed trade. Posting a limit order would not suffice.

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