If Manifold announces real money trading as part of their upcoming pivot, what will be true about it when it launches?
Basic
28
Ṁ7377Dec 31
1D
1W
1M
ALL
99%
Real Money Politics markets
99%
Only for US users
99%
Two different balances (real money mana / regular mana)
99%
It launches before the end of 2024
16%
Real Money Crypto price markets
16%
Real Money Death Markets
1%
Real Money Sports markets
1%
For US and non-US users
All options resolve N/A if Manifold doesn't announce real money trading
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@Ziddletwix It's about when cash withdrawals are enabled for the first users, so far real money has only been announced
@SimonGrayson is this about the launch of spice (i.e. last week) or when cash withdrawals are enabled?
There will be a cryptocurrency
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold launch real money prizes, and still have them at the end of 2024?
When will we have real money trading on Manifold?
How will Manifold monetize its business, at the end of 2024?
In what ways will Manifold be like Fliff, the social sports betting app inspiring the Pivot, by end of year?
Once real-money cashouts are enabled, will Manifold allow its staff to trade?
Will Manifold actually be able to implement real-money prizes?
What will the single largest post-pivot trade on Manifold be in 2024?
Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?
71% chance
If Manifold begins allowing real-money withdrawals, will its accuracy improve?
45% chance
What will Manifold's total mana purchases be in the month after the pivot is implemented and cash payouts enabled?