If Manifold announces real money trading as part of their upcoming pivot, what will be true about it when it launches?
Basic
28
Ṁ7377
Dec 31
99%
Real Money Politics markets
99%
Only for US users
99%
Two different balances (real money mana / regular mana)
99%
It launches before the end of 2024
16%
Real Money Crypto price markets
16%
Real Money Death Markets
1%
Real Money Sports markets
1%
For US and non-US users

All options resolve N/A if Manifold doesn't announce real money trading

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Ṁ1,000
and
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bought Ṁ50 Real Money Death Mar... NO

@Simon74fe withdrawals have been enabled

@Simon74fe is this about the launch of spice (i.e. last week) or when cash withdrawals are enabled?

@Ziddletwix It's about when cash withdrawals are enabled for the first users, so far real money has only been announced

@SimonGrayson is this about the launch of spice (i.e. last week) or when cash withdrawals are enabled?

@Ziddletwix Different Simon!

@SimonGrayson lol my bad!

There will be a cryptocurrency

Does the cryptocurrency have to be endorsed by Manifold, or is it sufficient that mana is exchangeable for a cryptocurrency on a 1:1 basis?

Exchangeable for a non-affiliated cryptocurrency would not be enough

bought Ṁ50 There will be a cryp... NO

@Simon74fe Then it's an easy NO.

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