Will Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost M1 mission successfully land on the moon?
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Plus
14
Ṁ1179
Jan 2
68%
chance

Firefly is a private spaceflight company. The Blue Ghost lander has been contracted by NASA under the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program to build and fly a lander to the surface of the moon. It should launch in 2024.

For a successful mission the Blue Ghost lander needs to soft-land on the moon, and the payloads on the lander need to be operational.

Blue Ghost M1 will be followed by Blue Ghost M2.

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bought Ṁ100 NO

I assume it will resolve NO if it does not land by the Jan 1 2025 close date.

bought Ṁ25 NO

What makes a payload "operational"? What if the payloads aren't working but it's not caused by the landing?

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