Will SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?
9
190Ṁ1982030
70%
chance
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1M
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Success in this case means that NASA deems the test was a safe landing, and rules that it meets the requirements for the Artemis program.
For the purposes of this market the HLS test vehicle will count as HLS.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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