Will SpaceX's HLS lander launch by 2025?
Basic
8
Ṁ1295Jan 2
1.9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For it to count as a launch the rocket needs to complete the countdown sequence and the holdown clamps need to release. A scrub won't count as a launch.
For the purposes of this market the HLS test vehicle will count as HLS.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?
45% chance
When will SpaceX land on the moon?
Will there be a SpaceX Starship launch in the first quarter of 2025?
94% chance
Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2027?
59% chance
Will SpaceX put their HLS lander on the Moon by end of 2025?
11% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2050?
40% chance
Will SpaceX put their HLS lander on the Moon in 2024?
2% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
50% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?
49% chance
Will SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?
70% chance