Will Japan regain control over some or all of the contested Kuril islands by 2028?
Plus
16
Ṁ13132028
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Japan gain de facto control of Shikotan island (one of the Kuril islands) from Russia before 2031?
17% chance
Will Ukraine regain control over Crimea before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
40% chance
Will Japan join AUKUS by 2025?
7% chance
Will Japan intercept a North Korean missile before the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Ukraine regain control of its pre-2014 territory (including Crimea and Donbas) by 2025?
1% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
49% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
27% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
45% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2024?
4% chance