Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029
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Elon Musk tweeted that civil war was inevitable in response to the disturbances in Britain. Resolved as yes if a civil war breaks out in any of the territories presently controled by the UK before the end of 2029. (England, Wales, Scotland, and Northern Island). Otherwise resolves no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Okay, my view is that a civil war in the UK would be unlikely to ever reach the point of militarised groups on both sides because there are very few guns here, it’s a very small country in terms of landmass, and anything at that scale would be quashed by the police or the army pretty quickly. I could see an IRA type of thing, which I would personally say was within a broad definition of a civil war
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