Will Trump get "Liz Trussed" by the markets in 2025? (if he wins) | Manifold

Will Trump get "Liz Trussed" by the markets in 2025? (if he wins)

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Jan 21

12%

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This market resolves Yes if:

Trump releases or begins to implement some sort of economic plan (e.g. tariffs)
The stock or bond markets crash in response
Trump does not implement the announced plans due to the market crash

This market resolves N/A if Trump does not assume the presidency in 2025.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Republican Party

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If he just never implements the tariffs at all, does this resolve NO OR NA?

@Enlil Resolves NO unless some other policy (mass deportations?) satisfies the criteria

reposted

Trump's announced tariff plans are so ridiculously bad that I think this is a realistic possibility 🙃

I will not trade on this market though (since there's some subjectivity in resolution), except a 1 mana trade to increase the number of traders

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