Will Jon Tester come within 5 points of winning?
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losing by less than 5 percentage points or winning outright resolves yes, losing by more than 5 points resolves no
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With about half of the votes in, Tester is behind by just 4 points: Montana U.S. Senate Election Results 2024: Tester vs. Sheehy - The New York Times.
Rasmussen has Sheehy winning 50-43.
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