Who will be the next (current or former) US president to die, aside from Carter?
Basic
78
แน€3.2k
2026
16%
Bill Clinton
10%
George Bush
1.1%
Barack Obama
31%
Donald Trump
41%
Joe Biden
2%
Other

Carter keeps outliving his death markets. I was kinda tempted to make a "will Carter die at all" market but decided that was one too many silly Carter markets, so here have a serious market instead.

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bought แน€10 George Bush YES

Clinton, Bush, and Trump were all born in 1946.

I think it will be like this:

Jimmy Carter in 2024 at age 99

Joe Biden in 2030 at age 87 (coinciding that his birthday is at the end of the year)

Donald Trump in 2035 at age 89

Bill Clinton in 2037 at age 91

George W. Bush in 2038 at age 92

Barack Obama in 2055 at age 94