Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?
Plus
259
Ṁ23k2033
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
predicts NO
If 'by' you mean 'before', which it looks like you do, shouldn't the close date be December 31st 2032 23:59? Or January 1st 2033 00:00 I guess.
@Shalun In a perfect world all markets would close right before the outcome becomes publicly known. What's the point of adding a day?
@Shalun You don't need to resolve the market the moment it closes. Closing just prevents further trading.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?
26% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?
38% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2031?
39% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2030?
28% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2035?
37% chance
[Metaculus] Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?
36% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2040?
34% chance
Will Ukraine be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?
32% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2029?
20% chance
Will Ukraine be a member state of the EU at EOY 2031?
41% chance