Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030?
Basic
21
Ṁ1.3k2029
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It will be resolved YES if a reliable source reports that Iran has fired a nuclear weapon at Israel (it doesn't matter where the launch was and it doesn't matter if the missile is intercepted on his way).
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
40% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
37% chance
Will Israel be destroyed before 2040, as predicted by Khamenei?
6% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
53% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
52% chance
Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
13% chance
Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030?
50% chance
Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before 2026?
31% chance
IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
47% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?
79% chance